Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Libertad
PAR
Libertad 1-0 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad squeezed past Nacional Asuncion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Libertad had 64% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 36%, shots finished 12-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Libertad and 1.17 for Nacional Asuncion.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion?
Libertad 1-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Libertad 44%, draw 29%, Nacional Asuncion 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.