Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa traded blows to a 1-1 standstill.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Aston Villa saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.20 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Nottingham Forest against 2.00 for Aston Villa.
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score
Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 39%, draw 30%, Aston Villa 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest) went the other way.