Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crystal Palace v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics
Crystal Palace edged past Newcastle United 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Crystal Palace made the difference. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.
On the day, Crystal Palace had 41% of the ball to Newcastle United's 59%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 2.56 to 1.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Crystal Palace's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crystal Palace and 2.00 for Newcastle United.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Result & Final Score
Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 32%, draw 29%, Newcastle United 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United), Under 2.5 went the other way.