ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Tunis v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals
ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
CAFŞL
1-2
HT 1-1
ES Tunis
CAFŞL
ES Tunis 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns edged past ES Tunis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was ES Tunis at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, ES Tunis had 52% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 48%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.39 to 0.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured ES Tunis.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ES Tunis and 0.33 for Mamelodi Sundowns.
What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
ES Tunis 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 54%, draw 23%, Mamelodi Sundowns 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ES Tunis) went the other way.