ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities
ES Tunis v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals
ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
ES Tunis 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns edged past ES Tunis 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was ES Tunis at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) landed.
On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in ES Tunis's favour, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.39 to 0.85 — on chances, ES Tunis could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for ES Tunis against 0.33 for Mamelodi Sundowns.
ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Result & Final Score
ES Tunis 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 50%, draw 30%, Mamelodi Sundowns 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ES Tunis) went the other way.