Toulouse 0-4 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 12 Apr 2026

Toulouse
0 - 4 HT 0 - 1
Lille
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Toulouse vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.67
Over
43%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.61
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.16
6+
3%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.03
1/2
2%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
11%
6.56
X/2
15%
4.86
X/X
21%
4.03
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
24%
3.15
2/X
5%
13.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Toulouse v Lille — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Toulouse The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille The Market 45%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
1.43 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Toulouse vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lille
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.25 xG 1.48
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
283 Passes 484
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
12.04.2025 Toulouse Toulouse 1-2 HT 1-2 Lille Lille FR1
05.10.2024 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
25.02.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 3-1 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
12.11.2023 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
18.03.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 0-2 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1

Toulouse 0-4 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
0 - 4
AWAY Lille
0.96 xG 2.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
306 Passes 583
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Toulouse vs Lille
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lille swept aside Toulouse 4-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Toulouse had 37% of the ball to Lille's 63%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.96 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Toulouse and 1.67 for Lille.

Toulouse vs Lille Result & Final Score

Toulouse 0 - 4 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Toulouse vs Lille Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 27%, draw 31%, Lille 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Under 2.5
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