Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.33
-67% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 26.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
281 Passes 379
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2026 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2-3
31.08.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
09.03.2024 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
14.09.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
30.03.2022 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
31.08.2019 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-0
AWAY Yokohama FC
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
228 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata squeezed past Yokohama FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 39% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 61%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.17 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC?

Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Yokohama FC in the JAP2-3 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 27%, draw 24%, Yokohama FC 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yokohama FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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