Sagamihara 0-3 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 52%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.67/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+105% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 25.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
162 Passes 148
58% Pass Accuracy 57%
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.03.2026 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 3-1 HT 3-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
0-3
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
165 Passes 222
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai cruised past Sagamihara 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 44% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 56%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai?

Sagamihara 0-3 Vegalta Sendai in the JAP2-3 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 25%, draw 22%, Vegalta Sendai 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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