Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matsumoto Yamaga v Omiya Ardija — Team-Based Signals
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Omiya Ardija
JAP2
1-1
HT 0-1
Omiya Ardija
JAP2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4-1 Omiya Ardija — Actual Match Statistics
Matsumoto Yamaga cruised past Omiya Ardija 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 28% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 72%, shots finished 17-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.33 for Omiya Ardija.
What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija?
Matsumoto Yamaga 4-1 Omiya Ardija in the JAP2-3 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Omiya Ardija?
Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 32%, draw 26%, Omiya Ardija 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.