Tochigi SC 5-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
237 Passes 384
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2026 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-3 HT 0-3 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2-3
23.08.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
07.06.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
20.10.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
08.06.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
06.08.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
5-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
222 Passes 338
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Tochigi SC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Tochigi SC ran out comfortable winners over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 5-1 in the JAP2-3 on 12 Apr 2026. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 41% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 59%, shots finished 18-11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.67 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Tochigi SC 5-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the JAP2-3 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 45%, draw 24%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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