Millonarios 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.10/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.12
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
18.0 Crosses 14.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
07.09.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
20.06.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 1-2 HT 0-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
02.06.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.03.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
23.03.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 2-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-1
AWAY Santa Fe
1.49 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
228 Passes 201
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios and Santa Fe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Millonarios at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Millonarios had 53% of the ball to Santa Fe's 47%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.49 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millonarios and 0.83 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Santa Fe?

Millonarios 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 48%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
12 Apr 2026
00:00 Aguilas Doradas vs Junior Analysis →
04:20 Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Analysis →