CD Tapatio 1-2 Irapuato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Apr 2026

CD Tapatio
1-2 HT 0-1
Irapuato
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2025/2026

CD Tapatio vs Irapuato Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.5pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Tapatio v Irapuato — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Irapuato EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.64/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.71
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

CD Tapatio vs Irapuato Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Irapuato
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Irapuato Irapuato 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2

CD Tapatio 1-2 Irapuato — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Tapatio
1-2
AWAY Irapuato
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Irapuato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irapuato edged past CD Tapatio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Tapatio at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CD Tapatio had 56% of the ball to Irapuato's 44%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Irapuato?

CD Tapatio 1-2 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Irapuato?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 43%, draw 27%, Irapuato 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Tapatio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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