Cancun FC 2-1 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.05
+9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Atlante
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
03.11.2025 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 0-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
30.03.2025 Atlante Atlante 4-1 HT 2-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
13.10.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
19.05.2024 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
16.05.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
29.04.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cancun FC
2-1
AWAY Atlante
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC squeezed past Atlante 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cancun FC had 31% of the ball to Atlante's 69%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cancun FC and 1.50 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Atlante?

Cancun FC 2-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 22%, draw 31%, Atlante 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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