Venados vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venados v Leones Negros Udeg — Team-Based Signals
Venados vs Leones Negros Udeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Venados
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
Venados 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Actual Match Statistics
Venados squeezed past Leones Negros Udeg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Venados had 64% of the ball to Leones Negros Udeg's 36%, shots finished 20-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Venados and 1.67 for Leones Negros Udeg.
What was the final score of Venados vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Venados 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venados vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Venados 54%, draw 19%, Leones Negros Udeg 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.