Monarcas Morelia 0-0 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.63/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.52
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
20.04.2025 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
01.11.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
09.02.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 3-1 HT 2-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
21.09.2023 Tlaxcala 2-3 HT 0-2 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
07.01.2023 Tlaxcala 0-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monarcas Morelia
0-0
AWAY Tlaxcala
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monarcas Morelia and Tlaxcala fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Monarcas Morelia carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monarcas Morelia had 60% of the ball to Tlaxcala's 40%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 0.83 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala?

Monarcas Morelia 0-0 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 57%, draw 23%, Tlaxcala 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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