Academica vs Amarante Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academica v Amarante — Team-Based Signals
Academica vs Amarante Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Academica
POK
Academica 1-1 Amarante — Actual Match Statistics
Academica and Amarante couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Academica at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Academica had 61% of the ball to Amarante's 39%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amarante led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Academica and 1.00 for Amarante.
What was the final score of Academica vs Amarante?
Academica 1-1 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academica vs Amarante?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Academica 44%, draw 30%, Amarante 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica) went the other way.