Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Atletico CP — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sporting Covilha 2-1 Atletico CP — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha nicked a narrow win over Atletico CP 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 47% of the ball to Atletico CP's 53%, shots finished 11-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.00 for Atletico CP.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP?
Sporting Covilha 2-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 27%, draw 28%, Atletico CP 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.