Sporting Covilha 0-0 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.32/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.46
+15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +128%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
12.01.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-3 HT 1-2 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
29.09.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
28.04.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
02.03.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
01.12.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
0-0
AWAY Atletico CP
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha and Atletico CP played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 40% of the ball to Atletico CP's 60%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico CP led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.33 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP?

Sporting Covilha 0-0 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 30%, draw 24%, Atletico CP 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico CP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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