Varzim 2-0 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +12%
1.89/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.36
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sanjoanense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 3-3 HT 1-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
12.01.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-2 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
28.09.2024 Varzim Varzim 3-0 HT 2-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
21.01.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-3 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
08.10.2023 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
27.01.2023 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-0
AWAY Sanjoanense
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim beat Sanjoanense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Varzim had 41% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 59%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Varzim and 1.00 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Sanjoanense?

Varzim 2-0 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Varzim 58%, draw 21%, Sanjoanense 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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