Amora FC 1-2 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+6.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.26/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.29
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Caldas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.02.2026 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
30.11.2025 Caldas Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
16.08.2025 Amora FC Amora FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
13.04.2024 Amora FC Amora FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
17.03.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
10.12.2023 Caldas Caldas 2-2 HT 1-2 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
1-2
AWAY Caldas
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas edged past Amora FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amora FC had 50% of the ball to Caldas's 50%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Amora FC and 1.33 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Caldas?

Amora FC 1-2 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 31%, draw 26%, Caldas 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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