Caldas 2-1 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.15/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.78
-12% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Amora FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Caldas Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
16.08.2025 Amora FC Amora FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
13.04.2024 Amora FC Amora FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
17.03.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
10.12.2023 Caldas Caldas 2-2 HT 1-2 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
27.08.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
2-1
AWAY Amora FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas squeezed past Amora FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldas had 59% of the ball to Amora FC's 41%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amora FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caldas and 1.50 for Amora FC.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Amora FC?

Caldas 2-1 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Caldas 48%, draw 29%, Amora FC 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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