Academica 3-1 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +25%
1.53/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.73
+3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +90%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
17.08.2025 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
04.05.2025 Academica Academica 0-4 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
15.02.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
08.12.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-3 HT 0-2 Academica Academica POR3
23.08.2024 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
3-1
AWAY Uniao Santarem
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Academica vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica saw off Uniao Santarem 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Academica had 43% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 57%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Academica and 0.83 for Uniao Santarem.

What was the final score of Academica vs Uniao Santarem?

Academica 3-1 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Academica 58%, draw 24%, Uniao Santarem 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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