Dezembro 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Feb 2026

Dezembro
1-1 HT 1-1
Lusitano Évora 1911
📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.6
No
50%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.9pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
34%
+16.2pp
50%
BTTS No
66%
-16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dezembro v Lusitano Évora 1911 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.98/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.01.2026 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
01.11.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 2-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3

Dezembro 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-1
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro and Lusitano Évora 1911 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (25% / 34% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dezembro had 46% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 54%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lusitano Évora 1911 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dezembro and 1.50 for Lusitano Évora 1911.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Dezembro 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 25%, draw 34%, Lusitano Évora 1911 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5
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