Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes II v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Varzim
POR3
2-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
POR3
0-2
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes II
POR2
Vitoria Guimaraes II 3-0 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes II cruised past Varzim 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes II had 59% of the ball to Varzim's 41%, shots finished 18-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes II and 1.17 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim?
Vitoria Guimaraes II 3-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 43%, draw 25%, Varzim 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.