Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico CP v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico CP 1-2 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha nicked a narrow win over Atletico CP 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico CP at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Atletico CP had 60% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 40%, shots finished 16-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico CP and 0.83 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha?
Atletico CP 1-2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 59%, draw 21%, Sporting Covilha 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico CP) went the other way.