Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico CP v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico CP 1-2 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Atletico CP 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
File this under upsets: a 61% lean on Atletico CP went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.66, about 60%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Atletico CP's favour, shots finished 16-4.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Atletico CP against 0.83 for Sporting Covilha.
Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha Result & Final Score
Atletico CP 1 - 2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - Liga 3 on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 61%, draw 23%, Sporting Covilha 16%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.