Paredes 4-1 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paredes EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.19/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.47
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paredes
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2026 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
08.11.2025 Paredes Paredes 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
08.08.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
23.01.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-1 HT 0-1 Paredes Paredes POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paredes
4-1
AWAY Sporting Braga II
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paredes vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes swept aside Sporting Braga II 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paredes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paredes had 71% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 29%, shots finished 22-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Paredes and 0.50 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Paredes vs Sporting Braga II?

Paredes 4-1 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paredes vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paredes 47%, draw 28%, Sporting Braga II 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paredes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paredes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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