Lexington 1-3 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 Apr 2026

Lexington
1-3 HT 0-2
Rhode Island
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2026

Lexington vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.6pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lexington v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.55/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.11
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.0 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Lexington 1-3 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
1-3
AWAY Rhode Island
1.02 xG 0.48
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 2
480 Passes 223
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 22
32 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island beat Lexington 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lexington at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lexington had 66% of the ball to Rhode Island's 34%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.02 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lexington.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Rhode Island?

Lexington 1-3 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lexington 49%, draw 21%, Rhode Island 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lexington), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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