Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Oakland Roots
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
3-0
HT 2-0
Oakland Roots
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Oakland Roots couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tampa Bay Rowdies at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 50% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 50%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.90 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.25 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 63%, draw 21%, Oakland Roots 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), BTTS No went the other way.