Hartford Athletic 0-4 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.61/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.33
+43% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.1 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
1W-1D-2L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.25 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
303 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
10.03.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
27.08.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
05.06.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
0-4
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.40 xG 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
296 Passes 411
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive cruised past Hartford Athletic 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day El Paso Locomotive made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 42% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 58%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.40 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.25 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Hartford Athletic 0-4 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 42%, draw 21%, El Paso Locomotive 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hartford Athletic), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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