FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Orange County SC
USLP
5-1
HT 5-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
FC Tulsa 0-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC nicked a narrow win over FC Tulsa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was FC Tulsa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 68% of the ball to Orange County SC's 32%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.66 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orange County SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.83 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?
FC Tulsa 0-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 45%, draw 28%, Orange County SC 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Tulsa) went the other way.