Mafra 0-2 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.98/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.02
-21% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +53%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses 23.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.37 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
334 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-1 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
30.09.2015 Mafra Mafra 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
0-2
AWAY Santa Clara
0.26 xG 1.05
69% Ball Possession 31%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
480 Passes 173
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara got the better of Mafra 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mafra had 69% of the ball to Santa Clara's 31%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.26 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mafra had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mafra and 0.00 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Santa Clara?

Mafra 0-2 Santa Clara in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mafra 22%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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