Mushuc Runa 1-3 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 12 May 2026

Mushuc Runa
1 - 3 HT 0 - 0
LDU Quito
📅12/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.71
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Mushuc Runa v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mushuc Runa The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito The Market 45%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
1.02 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 1.63
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
160 Passes 330
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
14.04.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
26.10.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
04.05.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.12.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
18.06.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1

Mushuc Runa 1-3 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1 - 3
AWAY LDU Quito
1.76 xG 2.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
224 Passes 152
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

LDU Quito beat Mushuc Runa 3-1 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Mushuc Runa's favour, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.76 to 2.51.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Mushuc Runa against 1.50 for LDU Quito.

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito Result & Final Score

Mushuc Runa 1 - 3 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 30%, draw 29%, LDU Quito 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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