Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Cerro Largo
URU
Cerro Largo 2-3 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol nicked a narrow win over Cerro Largo 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro Largo had 42% of the ball to CA Penarol's 58%, shots finished 6-17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.17 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol?
Cerro Largo 2-3 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 22%, draw 29%, CA Penarol 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.