Panaitolikos 1-1 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.52
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
18%
3.79
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.61
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.22/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.25
+6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.1 Crosses 19.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY AE Larissa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
259 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2026 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
07.02.2026 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-4 HT 1-3 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
08.11.2025 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
01.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos HAZ
03.04.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
28.02.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-1
AWAY AE Larissa
1.55 xG 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
469 Passes 169
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 14
46 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos and AE Larissa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 69% of the ball to AE Larissa's 31%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.55 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Panaitolikos and 0.67 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs AE Larissa?

Panaitolikos 1-1 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 34%, draw 30%, AE Larissa 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AE Larissa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
12 May 2026
19:00 Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos Analysis →
19:00 Kifisia vs Atromitos Analysis →