Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
5.09
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.51
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
17%
4.07
X/2
6%
8.51
X/X
18%
3.74
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
9%
7.72
2/X
6%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.42/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.82
+31% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
24.5 Crosses 12.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Panserraikos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
352 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2026 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
08.03.2026 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
04.10.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
09.03.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
01.12.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
30.03.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-0
AWAY Panserraikos
1.49 xG 0.68
72% Ball Possession 28%
7 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
402 Passes 102
86% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Box Touches 3
32 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis nicked a narrow win over Panserraikos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 72% of the ball to Panserraikos's 28%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 1.49 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panserraikos led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.50 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 52%, draw 30%, Panserraikos 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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