Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
24%
3.8
X/2
7%
9.88
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
6%
8.93
2/X
5%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.39/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.93
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.4 Crosses 13.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Panserraikos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.86 xG 1.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
326 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.10.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
09.03.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
01.12.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
30.03.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.03.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
10.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0-1
AWAY Panserraikos
0.30 xG 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
348 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Asteras Tripolis carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 59% of the ball to Panserraikos's 41%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.30 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panserraikos led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.83 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos?

Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 59%, draw 23%, Panserraikos 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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