Liaoning Shenyang 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
10%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.5pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.1pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.0pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 8%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.41/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.51
+28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +86%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
415 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
18.7 Crosses 10.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.76 xG 1.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
286 Passes 395
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-3 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
14.07.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
17.03.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
09.09.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.05.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 4-0 HT 3-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
29.11.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
1-0
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.32 xG 0.84
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
394 Passes 126
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 28
35 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang edged past Guangxi Baoyun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 69% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 31%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.32 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liaoning Shenyang had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.17 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Liaoning Shenyang 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 63%, draw 19%, Guangxi Baoyun 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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