Tijuana vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tijuana 1-0 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana squeezed past Queretaro 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tijuana had 60% of the ball to Queretaro's 40%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.92 to 0.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tijuana and 1.17 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Queretaro?
Tijuana 1-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 50%, draw 26%, Queretaro 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.