Tijuana 2-1 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Jan 2025

Tijuana
2-1 HT 1-1
Queretaro
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Tijuana vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tijuana v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +14%
1.72/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.58
-10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.9 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Tijuana vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Queretaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 0.97
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
358 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-2 HT 0-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
10.02.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
22.10.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
31.07.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 0-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro CONLK
08.04.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-2 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
21.08.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK

Tijuana 2-1 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
2-1
AWAY Queretaro
1.42 xG 0.70
75% Ball Possession 25%
25 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
610 Passes 152
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
45 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana squeezed past Queretaro 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tijuana had 75% of the ball to Queretaro's 25%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tijuana and 1.33 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Queretaro?

Tijuana 2-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 48%, draw 29%, Queretaro 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tijuana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
25 Jan 2025
04:00 Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Analysis →
06:00 Mazatlan vs Toluca Analysis →