Hammarby 2-0 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.69
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
20%
4.04
X/2
6%
13.4
X/X
8%
7.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.45
2/2
8%
10.35
2/X
5%
18.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.45 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-2.4pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.01/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.84
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.4 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kalmar
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
451 Passes 459
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2025 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 2-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇK
04.08.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 1-4 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
31.03.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 2-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
20.08.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
16.07.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
30.10.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 4-2 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
2-0
AWAY Kalmar
1.63 xG 1.14
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
572 Passes 448
38 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby saw off Kalmar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Hammarby and 1.00 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Kalmar?

Hammarby 2-0 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 64%, draw 19%, Kalmar 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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