Malmö FF 4-0 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
7.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.57
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
4%
12.4
X/1
16%
4.98
X/2
7%
7.7
X/X
9%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.8
2/2
14%
5.04
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.53/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.78
-7% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.6 Crosses 23.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Göteborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 0.61
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
514 Passes 222
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
25.05.2025 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
16.03.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-2 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
28.10.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
13.05.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-3 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
03.09.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 0-2 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
4-0
AWAY Göteborg
2.99 xG 2.37
19 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
559 Passes 312
38 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF cruised past Göteborg 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 2.99 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malmö FF and 1.00 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Göteborg?

Malmö FF 4-0 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 54%, draw 20%, Göteborg 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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