GAIS 1-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.32
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
9%
4.31
X/2
9%
8.72
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
10%
23.5
2/2
9%
6.86
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.07/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.67
-25% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.8 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
421 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
05.05.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
11.08.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-1 HT 2-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.05.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
18.02.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
19.02.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-3 HT 2-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
1-0
AWAY Elfsborg
1.89 xG 2.55
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
334 Passes 506
25 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS squeezed past Elfsborg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.89 to 2.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Elfsborg.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for GAIS and 1.50 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Elfsborg?

GAIS 1-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split GAIS 49%, draw 24%, Elfsborg 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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