Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.40/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.42
-8% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
29.03.2026 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
27.09.2025 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-4 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
31.05.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
19.10.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
25.05.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-3 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.07.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City and Chuncheon Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Changwon City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Changwon City and 1.67 for Chuncheon Citizen.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 47%, draw 22%, Chuncheon Citizen 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Changwon City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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