Greenville Triumph 1-2 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
57%
+6.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
300 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2026 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-3 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
21.07.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
03.05.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 3-3 HT 2-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
17.08.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
19.05.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.09.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers nicked a narrow win over Greenville Triumph 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Greenville Triumph at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.33 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?

Greenville Triumph 1-2 Richmond Kickers in the USLKP on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 63%, draw 19%, Richmond Kickers 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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