FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
FC Juarez
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Toluca
MEK
FC Juarez 0-2 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca got the better of FC Juarez 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, FC Juarez had 61% of the ball to Toluca's 39%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.26 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Juarez and 2.00 for Toluca.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Toluca?
FC Juarez 0-2 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 26%, draw 23%, Toluca 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.