Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico San Luis v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
Atletico San Luis 1-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul edged past Atletico San Luis 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Atletico San Luis had 38% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 62%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.28 to 1.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.67 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
Atletico San Luis 1-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 28%, draw 25%, Cruz Azul 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.