Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense nicked a narrow win over Vasco da Gama 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 72% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 28%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 0.67 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama?
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 46%, draw 25%, Vasco da Gama 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.