PFC Beroe 2-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.42/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.71
+33% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BULK
04.12.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 5-1 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
05.08.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-2 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
25.05.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
15.03.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
22.09.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
2-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe got the better of Botev Vratsa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PFC Beroe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 49% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 51%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.00 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Botev Vratsa?

PFC Beroe 2-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 42%, draw 25%, Botev Vratsa 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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