Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Sep 2026

📅12/09/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.28
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
🔒
Unlock the full board Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2026 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 2-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
20.11.2025 Gremio Gremio 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
19.07.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
29.07.2024 Gremio Gremio 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
14.04.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 2-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
04.12.2023 Gremio Gremio 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
PREVIEW Gremio vs Vasco da Gama
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

If you want certainty, look elsewhere: our numbers call this one almost dead level.

Gremio's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5, while Vasco da Gama have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gremio and 0.83 for Vasco da Gama.

Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Kick-off Time

Gremio play Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/09/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Gremio vs Vasco da Gama is a Gremio win at about 40% probability, priced 2.28 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Gremio 40%, draw 29%, Vasco da Gama 31%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
12 Sep 2026
03:00 Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Analysis →
22:00 Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense Analysis →
23:00 Chapecoense vs Internacional Analysis →