Guangzhou Evergrande 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
22%
5.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.1 — our 22% vs market 15.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.8pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 14%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.08/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.42
-56% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
21.8 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.30 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 177
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 2-5 HT 1-2 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
14.10.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 2-3 HT 1-1 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
28.06.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 2-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Guangzhou Evergrande vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande and Jiangxi Beidamen played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Guangzhou Evergrande carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guangzhou Evergrande had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Guangzhou Evergrande and 1.67 for Jiangxi Beidamen.

What was the final score of Guangzhou Evergrande vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Guangzhou Evergrande 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou Evergrande vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou Evergrande 58%, draw 24%, Jiangxi Beidamen 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✓ BTTS No
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