Vanersborgs IF 2-1 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.61
No
34%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
58%
+8.0pp
34%
BTTS No
42%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.57/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.36
-10% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Herrestads
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
29.03.2025 Herrestads Herrestads 3-3 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
31.08.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 2-4 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
03.05.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 4-1 HT 2-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs IF
2-1
AWAY Herrestads
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF nicked a narrow win over Herrestads 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Herrestads at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Vanersborgs IF had 39% of the ball to Herrestads's 61%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Herrestads led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 3.67 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Herrestads?

Vanersborgs IF 2-1 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated an Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 32%, draw 27%, Herrestads 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Herrestads) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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